Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?

Escalated → DVMResolved

View on Polymarket/will-there-be-exactly-1-earthquake-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-december-28

Risk factor breakdown

transparent weighted sum → 0/100

Disputedno

0.00

weight 0.40+0 pts

Reset rounds0

0.00

weight 0.20+0 pts

Pause count0

0.00

weight 0.10+0 pts

Post-trade clarifications0

0.00

weight 0.15+0 pts

Resolution lag0s

0.00

weight 0.15+0 pts

Dispute & reset timeline

7 on-chain events

unverified — derived from on-chain event timestamps; lifecycle ordering not independently audited.

●
InitializedDec 22, 2025, 20:54
✕
Disputed (round 1)Dec 28, 2025, 06:20
↺
Reset (round 1)Dec 28, 2025, 06:20
↗
Escalated to mainnet DVM (round 1)Dec 28, 2025, 06:20
escalated to mainnet DVM ↗
◆
Proposed (round 1)Dec 28, 2025, 15:07
✓
ResolvedDec 28, 2025, 17:18
✓
Settled (round 1)Jan 1, 2026, 00:45

Resolution status

State

Resolved

Reset rounds

Pause count

Resolution lag

5d 20h

↗ This dispute escalated to a mainnet DVM vote — view cross-chain reconciliation

On-chain provenance

auditable

questionId

Polymarket slug/will-there-be-exactly-1-earthquake-of-magnitude-6pt5-or-higher-worldwide-by-december-28

Adapter address

Risk score0/100 · Low

Off-chain clarifications0

✓

No disputes recorded

This market has no on-chain dispute, reset, or DVM escalation on record.

Resolution criteria

ancillaryText · rendered from on-chain ancillaryData

q: title: Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?, description: This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 22, 12:00 AM ET, and December 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. market_id: 995415 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to No, p2 to Yes, p3 to unknown. This request MUST only resolve to p1 or p2. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x2F5e3684cb1F318ec51b00Edba38d79Ac2c0aA9d should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5