Polygon + Ethereum
All time
Risky Markets/0x20e185d7…51867a
Market detail

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

DisputedEscalated → DVMResolved

Risk factor breakdown

transparent weighted sum → 55/100
Disputedyes
1.00
weight 0.40+40 pts
Reset rounds1
0.33
weight 0.20+7 pts
Pause count0
0.00
weight 0.10+0 pts
Post-trade clarifications0
0.00
weight 0.15+0 pts
Resolution lag3d 17h
0.53
weight 0.15+8 pts

Dispute & reset timeline

8 on-chain events

unverified — derived from on-chain event timestamps; lifecycle ordering not independently audited.

  1. InitializedJan 27, 2026, 00:55
  2. ProposedJan 30, 2026, 03:01
  3. Disputed (round 1)Jan 30, 2026, 04:40
  4. Reset (round 1)Jan 30, 2026, 04:40
  5. Escalated to mainnet DVM (round 1)Jan 30, 2026, 04:40
    escalated to mainnet DVM ↗
  6. Proposed (round 1)Jan 30, 2026, 16:05
  7. ResolvedJan 30, 2026, 18:05
  8. Settled (round 1)Feb 2, 2026, 01:04

Resolution status

State
Resolved
Reset rounds
1
Pause count
0
Resolution lag
3d 17h
↗ This dispute escalated to a mainnet DVM vote — view cross-chain reconciliation

On-chain provenance

auditable
questionId
Polymarket slug/us-strike-on-somalia-by-january-31-563
Adapter address
Risk score55/100 · Elevated
Off-chain clarifications0

Resolution criteria

ancillaryText · rendered from on-chain ancillaryData