Market detail
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?
DisputedEscalated → DVMResolved
Risk factor breakdown
transparent weighted sum → 50/100Dispute & reset timeline
7 on-chain eventsunverified — derived from on-chain event timestamps; lifecycle ordering not independently audited.
- ●InitializedFeb 4, 2026, 13:01
- ✕Disputed (round 1)Feb 5, 2026, 21:48
- ↺Reset (round 1)Feb 5, 2026, 21:48
- ↗Escalated to mainnet DVM (round 1)Feb 5, 2026, 21:48escalated to mainnet DVM ↗
- ◆Proposed (round 1)Feb 5, 2026, 21:51
- ✓ResolvedFeb 6, 2026, 00:17
- ✓Settled (round 1)Feb 10, 2026, 01:03
Resolution status
State
Resolved
Reset rounds
1
Pause count
0
Resolution lag
1d 11h
On-chain provenance
auditablequestionId
Polymarket slug/spx-opens-up-or-down-on-february-5-2026
Adapter address
Risk score50/100 · Elevated
Off-chain clarifications0
Resolution criteria
ancillaryText · rendered from on-chain ancillaryDataq: title: S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?, description: This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 5 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on February 5 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day.
E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day.
If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50.
If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices".
US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks
EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea
ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia market_id: 1333010 res_data: p1: 0, p2: 1, p3: 0.5. Where p1 corresponds to Down, p2 to Up, p3 to unknown/50-50. Updates made by the question creator via the bulletin board at 0x65070BE91477460D8A7AeEb94ef92fe056C2f2A7 as described by https://polygonscan.com/tx/0xa14f01b115c4913624fc3f508f960f4dea252758e73c28f5f07f8e19d7bca066 should be considered.,initializer:91430cad2d3975766499717fa0d66a78d814e5c5